Wind Winds Up

Washington, D.C. – Gregory Wetstone has overseen government affairs for the American Wind Energy Association, a Washington trade group, for a year.

“Nonstop action,” he says of his tenure.

The action will stay intense in the near term. Next week, Wetstone expects a vote in the U.S. House of Representatives on his group’s most important legislative priority, a long-term extension of the wind energy production tax credit (PTC). The subsidy provides an income tax credit of two cents per kilowatt hour for electricity produced by windmills. Since its creation in 1992, the PTC has expired on three occasions, each a big setback for the wind business. It’s set to expire again at the end of this year.

Wetstone predicts the PTC will make it through the House, as it did when that body passed a broad energy package in December. Prospects look difficult, however, in the U.S. Senate, where partisan maneuvering and disputes over funding offsets have caused the PTC to twice fall short of passage in recent months. (See: “Why The Energy Bill Will Die.”)

Full story at Forbes.com

Scorecard: 2007 Beltway Stock Bets

Washington, D.C. – Investing is a focus of our Business in the Beltway coverage on Forbes.com. The proposition is straightforward–what goes on in Washington has ramifications on Wall Street, for good or ill. So we regularly serve up ideas on publicly traded companies that could get a lift from policy action, procurement or crack lobbying squads.

In 2007, this author wrote 23 stories with a view toward the Beltway-minded investor. On average, stocks highlighted in those stories show an average total return of 11%, using prices from the date of publication through market close on Dec. 13, vs. a return of 3% for the S&P 500 during equivalent time periods.

The usual caveats apply. That 11% return for these Beltway stocks is overstated by at least a couple of percentage points, since it doesn’t factor in trading expenses. Also, we’ll note that most folks should think about owning individual stocks for longer than one year.

Nevertheless, December is a time for retrospectives. It’s also a chance for active investors to think about either taking profits or dumping stinkers to harvest a capital loss.

Full story at Forbes.com

Carbon Emissions: The Next Sarbox

Washington, D.C. – A modest crowd of 50 or so gathered Wednesday in Washington, D.C., for a conference on global warming. The event, organized by a fledgling trade association called the Carbon Management Council, contemplated impacts on business as governments seek to check global warming with restrictions on carbon emissions.

The crowd may have been small, but the discussion covered the major–and relatively immediate–implications of climate change.

One of those implications: Given the emerging regulatory response to global warming, all businesses should get their ducks in a row now when it comes to keeping track of their output of carbon dioxide and other gases blamed for climate change.

“The assumption is going to be that, as an organization, you will already have your data in line,” said Jerry Schmits, a conference panelist and director of product marketing for expense-management consultancy Cadence Network. “All this is going to almost act like the next Sarbanes-Oxley.”

Full story at Forbes.com

Concrete Proposals

WASHINGTON, D.C. – “We have a very, very underfunded and seriously challenged transportation system in severe crisis.”

So says Peter Ruane, chief executive of the American Road and Transportation Builders Association (ARTBA), as he unveils a 70-page plan for updating legislation on federal surface transportation spending. The law–called the Safe, Accountable, Flexible, Efficient Transportation Equity Act: A Legacy for Users (SAFETEA-LU)–passed in 2005 with a $287 billion price tag. It’s set to expire two years hence.

Yes, 2009 is a way off, and it isn’t a drop-dead date. The SAFETEA law didn’t get signed until two years after its predecessor’s expiration.

Still, shareholders in companies like Caterpillar (nyse: CAT – news – people ), Deere & Company (nyse: DE – news – people ), and Vulcan Materials (nyse: VMC – news – people ) should watch the road building industry’s Washington standard bearer in the off-season: The federal government finances nearly half the country’s highway and bridge building.

Full story at Forbes.com

New Investing Metric: Red Tape

Washington, D.C. – Just over a year ago, as we’ve done for the past several years, we did a stock search with the aid of an annual World Bank survey on the best countries to do business. Stocks featured in that story averaged a 48% total return through Monday’s market close, versus gains of 19% and 27%, respectively, for the S&P 500 and an exchange-traded fund tracking Morgan Stanley Capital International’s Europe, Australasia, and Far East index.

The idea here is simple: Investors looking to place bets abroad should stick to countries that don’t tie up business folk with red tape. Past performance doesn’t guarantee anything, but given the results from last year’s story, we’re giving this screen another go.

Full story at Forbes.com

The Energy Consultant Who Does It All

Washington, D.C. – Like any big industry, energy has an array of trade groups representing its various sectors and sub-sectors inside the Beltway. Biofuels, coal, gas, oil, nukes, solar, wind, utilities of various stripes: They all field associations that jostle for position on energy policy.

Since 1981, Jeffrey Serfass has made a living in this milieu. The approach behind his $2 million (revenues) Washington consultancy: connect the dots.

“We have a significant network of companies and spheres of knowledge that allow us to uniquely bridge the entire gamut from fossil fuels to renewable energy,” says Serfass, 62.

Suitably, Serfass’ company carries a rather non-descript name: Technology Transition Corporation. In addition to corporate and government consulting, the 12-person, for-profit outfit manages trade groups, notably the National Hydrogen Association and the internationally focused Partnership for Advancing the Transition to Hydrogen. Serfass heads both organizations.

Full story at Forbes.com

Getting Burned

Washington, D.C. – As the table below indicates, Wall Street has cooled on the coal business lately. Particularly hard hit, in share price terms at least, have been two concerns, Headwaters and Rentech, specializing in turning coal into liquid fuel.

At a Wednesday hearing on Capitol Hill, those two companies pleaded for Washington to nurture the fledgling coal-to-liquid industry.

“Oil price volatility continues to discourage potential [coal-to-liquid] investors,” Robert Freerks, Rentech’s (amex: RTK – news – people ) director of product development, told the House Committee on Science and Technology’s Subcommittee on Energy and Environment. “Congress should enact policy to help reduce risk and encourage investment in these plants.”

“Until we get the first few plants built, there’s tremendous resistance from the private capital market,” agreed John Ward, Headwaters’ (nyse: HW – news – people ) vice president for marketing and government affairs (note: half of Headwaters’ sales come from residential construction materials).

As we’ve observed elsewhere, (See: “Its Not Easy Being Green”], Washington tends to stand by long-shot energy technologies, even after the stock market has given them the thumbs-down. But the members at today’s hearing weren’t an easy audience.

Full story at Forbes.com

HP Rides The Innovation Wave In Washington

WASHINGTON, D.C. – Last week, Hewlett-Packard savored some legislative good news when President Bush signed a bill boosting federal subsidies for research and education in science and math. The Palo Alto, Calif., computer giant, which in 2006 spent $3.6 billion on research and development, has been one of the louder voices calling for the U.S. government to step up its role in fostering tech innovation.

“We’re very pleased with the commitment to put more money into research and to contribute math and science scholarship,” says Gary Fazzino, Hewlett Packard’s (nyse: HPQ) vice president for government and public affairs. “These are victories.”

Now, Fazzino and HP’s six-person government affairs outpost in Washington hope that momentum on innovation will carry along two other top priorities: patent reform and an extension of the research and development tax credit. While both items enjoy decent support inside the Beltway, they’ll need tending to, given the prospect of a hectic autumn on Capitol Hill.

“There could be a number of landmines along the way,” says David Isaacs, who runs HP’s public policy efforts in Washington.

Full story at Forbes.com

S.E.E. Change? S.E.E. Change Go Slow

As interest in all things green has surged, business groups in Washington have jumped cheerfully in. But as one association’s initiative illustrates, these high-profile efforts aren’t without risks.

In September, 2005, chief executives from Dow Chemical, Sun Microsystems, Xerox and three others joined then Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist at an event near the White House to tout a new initiative called S.E.E. Change.

Sponsored by the Business Roundtable, an advocacy group representing 150 bosses of big companies, the initiative set out to burnish business “as a force for good” in matters of society and environment. Along with the event, the Roundtable took out full-page ads in several big newspapers and won widespread press coverage, including an item on Forbes.com.

In Pictures: A Gallery Of Green Spin
The progress so far? S.E.E. Change (which stands for Society, Environment and Economy) has added 10 new members to a founding roster of 18 companies who committed to showcasing and tracking their sustainability efforts. Not an insignificant increase, but a long way from the S.E.E. objective of getting all 150 Business Roundtable companies on board.

“It’s an aspirational goal,” says Marian Hopkins, director of public policy for the Business Roundtable. “[S.E.E. Change participants] can be great advocates to other member companies.”

Full story at Forbes.com

Home Builders Hit The Hill

Washington, D.C. – On Wednesday, 1,300 home builders will call on Capitol Hill as part of a legislative conference organized by their trade group, the National Association of Home Builders. They’ll do so against a grim industry backdrop.

“For the first summer in many summers, we’re not helping to keep unemployment numbers down,” says Jerry M. Howard, 51, the NAHB’s chief executive. “For the first time in six years, we are a drag on the economy rather than a plus.”
Publicly held home-building companies have weighed on the stock market too. Consider the table below, which lists the 10 biggest U.S. home builders by latest-12-month revenues. On average, the group shares have dropped 12% year-to-date, versus a 9% gain for the S&P 500.
Fittingly, Howard is sending his troops out to congressional offices with a simple, overarching message: Don’t kick us when we’re down.
“Our strategy is to remind policymakers of our importance in economic and societal terms,” he says, “and to convince them to take no action that would exacerbate this downturn in the housing industry.”
One area of potential exacerbation: immigration. The NAHB has come out strongly against the proposed immigration overhaul now being considered by the U.S. Senate, particularly its portions cracking down on employers that hire illegal workers, directly or through subcontractors.