Pentagon: Rough RFID Ride Ahead?

WASHINGTON, D.C. – It’s always a little nerve-wracking when big businesses or government bureaucracies wager on a new technology, especially when the technology in question involves the fate of thousands of suppliers and billions in inventory. So Wal-Mart Stores and the U.S. Department of Defense have no doubt rattled some with their embrace of radio frequency identification, or RFID, as the next big thing for managing their supply chains. Both outfits have deadlines this coming January for significant RFID rollouts.

But between the two RFID efforts, which will likely prove more challenging for the organization and its suppliers? That’s an easy one: the Pentagon’s. “Their needs are probably the most robust and exhaustive of anyone, way more than whatever Wal-Mart is thinking,” says Ann Grackin, chief executive at ChainLink Research, a Cambridge, Mass.-based logistics consultant that advises both the U.S. military and its contractors.

Some background on RFID: The technology, around since the 1940s, is the same used for automated highway toll collection and key chain devices to open car doors. For years, RFID has been touted as the successor to bar codes as the best way to keep track of merchandise. Tagged with RFID chips, boxes and cases of merchandise will automatically transmit information from embedded RFID chips to “readers” throughout the distribution process. The promise: less work and better-stocked shelves–or better-equipped soldiers.

In mid-2003, Wal-Mart upped the RFID ante by asking its top 100 suppliers to put tags on cases destined for Wal-Mart and Sam’s Club stores in the Dallas/Fort Worth area by January 2005. By 2006, Wal-Mart expects all its suppliers to be on board with RFID.

The Pentagon, which had already had success with RFID in certain war zones, announced in October 2003 that its suppliers, save those in “bulk commodities,” would have to have RFID tags on cases by January 2005. About 40,000 vendors do regular business with the military.

So what makes the Defense Department’s RFID initiative tougher? Beyond the security difficulties inherent in dealing with combat operations, Grackin points out some unevenness in the military’s facilities; it has some of the best warehouses and depots in the world but also some of the worst. That’s not the case with Wal-Mart.

Full story at Forbes.com

Is Customs’ ACE In The Hole?

WASHINGTON, D.C. – Central Intelligence Agency Director George Tenet shocked a lot of folks when he told the 9/11 commission recently that it would take another five years to build a truly integrated intelligence operation. Five years sounds like an awfully long time. But if you need an example of why Tenet, sadly, probably has the timetable right, take a look at the U.S. Bureau of Customs and Border Protection and its efforts to modernize.

In April 2001, Customs awarded a projected $1.3 billion, five-year contract to bring its technology for processing imports into the Internet era. Today, the new system, known as the Automated Commercial Environment, is up and running–but only partly. ACE’s builders have yet to install a good chunk of its functionality; the project has suffered delays and now is supposed to be completed in 2007.

ACE also has money problems. Congress has appropriated $1.04 billion for the project since 2001, including $306 million for fiscal 2004. A source tells Forbes the latter sum fell about a quarter shy of what was needed.

What’s going on here? The short answer is that creating technology to integrate various government functions means walking into a technological, management and political minefield. No one expected ACE to be easy–the project is a bit like rebuilding a street in midtown Manhattan, a section at a time, without ever stopping the flow of traffic. Customs’ existing setup is a hodgepodge of various trade processing systems, each with its own acronym: the Automated Commercial System, the Automated Export System, the Border Release Advanced Screening and Selectivity, Customs Automated Forms Entry System, Free and Secure Trade and the Pre-Arrival Processing System.

Full story at Forbes.com

Making Nice With Big Rail

WASHINGTON, D.C. – No one promised David L. Gunn an easy ride when he took over as Amtrak’s chief executive two years ago. The government-owned passenger railroad, which last year lost $1.3 billion on sales of $2 billion, faced financial and organizational disarray, outspoken enemies on Capitol Hill, and at least a decade’s worth of deferred maintenance projects.

But Gunn–a Harvard Business School graduate who in his career has headed up transit systems in New York City, Philadelphia, Toronto and Washington D.C.–has on the whole earned high marks for his focus on fixing Amtrak’s bookkeeping, thinning its bureaucracy and coming clean with Congress about the railroad’s needs for staying viable. Gunn, 66, seems also to have won the admiration of one of Amtrak’s most important business partners: the freight railroads.

“He has certainly tried very hard to improve relations,” says Thomas White, spokesperson for the Association of American Railroads, the freight industry group. “I think we’re all appreciative of that.” H. Craig Lewis, vice president for corporate affairs with Norfolk Southern, adds that “a lot of people from Amtrak and Norfolk Southern have had a part in improving this relationship, but the single most significant catalyst to it all has been David Gunn.”

Says Gunn: “I would characterize our relationships as pretty good.”

“Pretty good” looks downright remarkable given the evolution of freight and passenger rail in the United States over the last few decades. Amtrak, or the National Railroad Passenger Corporation, was created in 1970 when Congress, looking to save America’s inter-city passenger rail network, gave the big railroads a chance to unload their money-losing passenger operations. To do so, however, the railroads agreed not only to let Amtrak operate anywhere it wanted, but also to give preference to Amtrak trains on their networks.

Full story at Forbes.com

Railroads Throw Switch On Deficit Tax

WASHINGTON – Two of Congress’ most important items of business are the energy and surface transportation bills. At least one industry has a dog in both fights: the railroads.

Near the top of Big Rail’s wish list for both pieces of legislation is ridding itself of what’s known as the “deficit-reduction fuel tax.” Huh? That might sound a bit ambitious, given that Uncle Sam’s spending this year is expected to exceed revenue by some $477 billion. But industry lobbyists argue, with some justification, that it’s an unfair tax. Provisions to eliminate it are in both bills.

Repeal “has very strong support from both the House Ways & Means and Senate Finance committees,” says Jennifer Macdonald, director of government affairs for the Association of American Railroads (AAR).

The deficit-reduction fuel tax, 4.3 cents per gallon, was enacted in 1990 when the federal government’s accounts were $124 billion in the red. Railroads and trucking companies paid the tax initially, followed by inland barges in 1993 and commercial airlines in 1995.

Two years later, however, airlines and truckers managed to get their portion of the levy diverted into airport infrastructure and federal highway trust funds, respectively. In other words, the taxes they pay are used to benefit them. But barges and railroads, which have no such trust funds, continued to pay the deficit tax, even as the federal budget moved into the black in 1999.

Full story at Forbes.com

FedEx’s Stamp Act

FedEx chief Frederick W. Smith testified before Congress last week about reforming the U.S. Postal Service. It was quite a balancing act.

On one hand, Smith praised “the professionalism of Postal Service managers and the scale of its operations.” Moments later, however, he berated the “inefficiencies and disincentives” accompanying monopolies such as the one the U.S. Postal Service (USPS) enjoys on the mailbox. “The biggest victim of the postal monopoly,” Smith intoned, “is the Postal Service.”

What gives? Private shippers such as United Parcel Service and FedEx compete with the Postal Service. Both companies have recently expanded their mail-related services and retail presence: UPS acquired Mail Boxes, Etc. in 2001, while FedEx completed its $2.4 billion purchase of Kinko’s last week.

But they–and other big companies–don’t want to cause too much grief for the Postal Service. FedEx, in particular, has a history of working with the USPS. Last fall, for example, reports emerged that FedEx had struck an arrangement with the Postal Service to create a “postal hybrid service.” Under the arrangement, the USPS will deliver FedEx packages the last mile to homes, giving the company a foothold in low-density, single-parcel transactions that its business model would otherwise prevent.

As the long-simmering issue of postal reform heats up, other corporations that rely on the postal service, from Pitney Bowes to big magazine shipper Time Warner, are watching warily and are also trooping to the Hill to testify.

Full story at Forbes.com

Flying Pork

WASHINGTON, D.C. – When the federal government deregulated the airlines in 1978, it eased concerns that smaller communities would get stranded with a program called Essential Air Service. The program guaranteed that towns with air service as of October 1978–provided they were further than 70 miles from a bigger airport–would be eligible for subsidies keeping some measure of that service in place.

In fiscal 1995, EAS’s cost stood at $37 million per year. Following the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, Congress bumped up funding for EAS from $50 million to $113 million. A month ago, the program was reauthorized. Price tag: $127 million for each of the next four fiscal years.

If that subsidy creep looks worrying, research from transportation think tank Reconnecting America suggests things will only get worse without changes in transportation policy.

In 2002, the group released “Missed Connections,” a survey quantifying the drop in air service at various categories of airports during that year. That report argued, however, that the declines were more than just a result the Sept. 11 attacks and the economy’s downturn; instead, they reflected fundamental structural changes sweeping the airline industry.

Last month, the organization published “Missed Connections II,” a follow-up study that largely reinforced the earlier findings. At large-hub airports, for example, the number of weekly flights declined 1.7% from 2002 to 2003, on top of the 9.5% drop shown from 2001 to 2002. Medium and smaller hubs had a slight 0.1% gain in weekly flights but still showed a 9.6% reduction from 2001 to 2003. Smaller communities were some of the biggest losers–just 20% of those surveyed showed gains in weekly flights, while 80% either stayed flat or declined.

Full story at Forbes.com

Turning Around The Merchant Marine

WASHINGTON – If a nation’s preeminence is measured by the size of its maritime shipping industry, then the United States is in decline. Consider: Since 1991, America’s merchant fleet has dropped to 260 ships from 536, according to the American Maritime Congress, the industry group representing ocean carriers. Just 4% of U.S. trade is carried on U.S.-flagged vessels.

For Charles G. Raymond, chief executive of Charlotte, N.C.-based ocean shipper Horizon Lines, that’s evidence that the government needs to do more for the industry. “Clearly, there’s a need for a government focus on this,” he says, adding that “there should be a high-level, blue ribbon committee that looks into what can be done and the key drivers to make it happen in a socially and fiscally responsible way.”

And in a way, of course, that helps Raymond’s company. Horizon Lines, which CSX sold in February to Washington buyout firm The Carlyle Group for $300 million, is one of America’s biggest ocean haulers, moving freight on 17 ships between the continental U.S. and Alaska, Guam, Hawaii and Puerto Rico.

But Raymond and others in maritime transportation insist the matter goes well beyond their own self interest. On its Web site, the American Maritime Congress points out that 95% of military cargo must travel by sea during wartime. Raymond, who started his career as a deck officer for Sea-Land in 1965, recalls scrambling to retrofit two Sea-Land ships to haul ammunition when Japanese and Danish sailors suddenly refused to carry America’s military supplies during the first Gulf War.

“When you have to sustain the surge of material going into a war zone,” he says, “you find guys have gotten hurt, or they’ve been out at sea for 75 days and they’ve got family issues and need to be replaced. That’s where we run into trouble as a nation, coming up with enough mariners to keep those vessels manned on a sustained basis.”

Full story at Forbes.com

Greenhouse Gas Soft Sell

WASHINGTON, D.C. – When the Bush Administration unveiled its plan to address global climate change in February 2002, a key component was a program called “Climate Leaders.” True to the administration’s bottom-up approach to business regulation, Climate Leaders invited big manufacturers and others to work with the Environmental Protection Agency to reduce their emissions of greenhouse gases–such as carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide and others thought to contribute to global warming.

The tally so far: 48 companies have signed on as “Partners” in the Climate Leaders program. Twelve of those have agreed to set reduction goals for their greenhouse gas emissions. “We’re pretty happy with those numbers,” says Kathleen Hogan, director of the EPA’s Climate Protection Partnerships division. But the program is just starting its climb up the mountain–Hogan says the goal, eventually, is to have hundreds of Climate Leaders participating.

To be sure, the list already includes some big hitters. General Motors pledged to reduce its greenhouse gases at North American plants by 10% by 2005, while Pfizer chose to reduce its emissions by 35% per revenue dollar from 2000 to 2007. Other notables that have set goals include Cinergy, IBM, and Johnson & Johnson.

Still, the overall tally of 48 participants suffers by comparison to other voluntary programs set up by the Bush Administration in recent years. As noted here a month ago, the U.S. Bureau of Customs and Border Protection’s initiative has signed up 4,300 companies in just over two years for its supply chain security initiative.

Hogan brushes off the comparison. For one, she notes EPA’s track record with its other voluntary programs. Energy Star, a program encouraging companies to label and promote energy efficiency products (air conditioners, office equipment and so on), has more than 7,000 partners after 11 years. Of course Energy Star is a marketing plus for companies making efficient appliances, since consumers can see from the label how much they’ll save.

Full story at Forbes.com

Cold War To Hot Technology

WASHINGTON – For 25 years, tech contractor SRA International has done high-level problem solving for the U.S. government. One of its first gigs: advising the Department of Defense on how to keep its operations running in the buildup to and aftermath of a nuclear exchange between the Cold War powers.

“People talk about the danger of a dirty bomb,” muses SRA Chief Executive Ernst Volgenau. “Can you imagine 1,000 Soviet nuclear warheads descending on the United States?”

Yes, SRA designs government computer networks and systems. And it would like to do more such work. But it also helps prepare government agencies for disaster and develops software and techniques for analyzing the effectiveness of civilian and defense programs. Example: In a recent engagement for the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, SRA was hired to look for patterns in Medicare claims that might indicate fraud.

So far, this mix of business has served SRA well. Revenue, $450 million for the latest 12 months, has grown at a 15% annualized clip over the past five years. And given today’s national security situation, analysts expect more of the same; the Thomson First Call consensus forecasts SRA’s bottom line will expand at a rate of 21% (annualized) over the next thee to five years.

Yet even with that kind of projected growth, one might wonder whether SRA has sufficient bulk to compete, particularly as the giant defense contractors muscle into the field of government technology. Last week, Lockheed Martin announced a $1.8 billion bid for Titan, a San Diego-based technology-services outfit specializing in national security and defense.

Moreover, SRA has a reputation for being relatively selective about both the engagements it takes on and the acquisitions it makes. “They’ve had measured growth,” says Cynthia Houlton, equity analyst with RBC Capital Markets. “They haven’t gone out for large deal opportunities just to beef up the top line.”

Full story at Forbes.com

Congress Still Loves Trains

WASHINGTON – It’s not buggy whip time yet, but America’s railroad supply industry has sure seen better days. Thomas D. Simpson, executive director of the Railway Supply Institute’s Washington office, reports that only 17,700 freight railcars were ordered last year, down from 70,000 to 80,000 in the late 1990s. Meanwhile, locomotive sales have dropped to just 400 per year from 1,200. “It’s been a tough slog,” he sighs.

But happily for rail suppliers, Congress still loves trains. Several proposals for revamping the nation’s rail infrastructure are now chugging around the House and Senate. And RSI, whose members range from industrial giants like General Electric and ITT Industries to smaller rail equipment manufacturers such as Greenbrier and Wabtec, is trying to make sure one of those proposals becomes law.

“There’s some hard work in front of us,” says Simpson, “but we can get something, and getting something is key.”

Atop the RSI’s legislative wish list is to have Congress establish a “Rail Finance and Development Corporation,” modeled on government-sponsored enterprises such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. With a chief executive and a presidentially appointed board of directors, the entity would be authorized to issue $50 billion in federal tax credit bonds to states and private/public partnerships to finance rail projects. (Holders of these bonds get a tax credit, which provides an indirect federal subsidy for rail.)

Full story at Forbes.com