De-Sprawling The Highway Bill

WASHINGTON, D.C. – Among the big-ticket items it didn’t get around to this fall, Congress failed to finish work on a six-year transportation spending package. Even a $299 billion compromise between House and Senate versions, 37% bigger than the 1998 highway bill and reportedly backed by the White House, fell short of coming to a vote.

Good riddance, according to Don Chen, executive director of the anti-sprawl group Smart Growth America. “We prefer extension of the debate to passage of a bad bill,” he says. “We’re still looking to see a bill that actually carries out the wishes of the American people.”

For Chen and colleagues, those wishes are embodied in the goals of the “smart growth” movement: to reduce traffic, preserve open space and develop communities where people can get to work and leisure without their cars. In policy terms, that means favoring repair of existing roads over new construction, creating incentives for transit-oriented real estate development, and more funding for mass transit and programs to encourage walking and biking.

This is no easy agenda to push at the federal level, especially given legislators’ historic fondness for laying pavement. But as far as the highway bill goes, smart growth proponents at least have some time to press their case. Two weeks ago, President George W. Bush extended existing transportation spending laws through the end of next May.

Full story at Forbes.com

Gold Mine On The Gold Line

Just over a year ago, Los Angeles residents took their first rides on the Gold Line, a spiffy new trolley route meandering 14 miles from L.A.’s Union Station out to Pasadena. At the new line’s last stop in Pasadena, passengers were greeted with a large banner saluting none other than Booz Allen Hamilton, the McLean-Va.-based consulting firm, for its work on the project.

“We paid for that sign, I think,” confides Gary Schulman, a Booz Allen vice president and co-leader of its transportation practice.

Booz Allen can be excused for patting itself on the back when it comes to public transportation, a specialty that has helped its overall transportation business grow at a five-year, annualized rate of 17%. That outpaces the five-year revenue growth rate for the firm as a whole by seven percentage points. Of the 500 employees in Booz’s transportation practice, half now work on mass transit matters.

And the way ahead looks golden. Why? There’s demand here for one of Booz Allen’s foremost specialties: updating technology. Ghassan Salameh, another Booz VP at the head of its transportation practice, says transit agencies are now getting around to overhauling technology that in many instances hasn’t been touched in 20 or 30 years. Half of the firm’s mass transit consulting revenue comes from technology-related jobs.

Full story at Forbes.com

Airlines: Too Much Security?

WASHINGTON, D.C. – Just after the 9/11 Commission released its final report at the end of July, the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee issued a press release touting security-related legislation it had promoted since the 2001 terrorist attacks.

Under the heading of “aviation security,” the release cited the laws that created the Transportation Security Administration, as well as those that armed commercial and cargo pilots. The Committee also mentioned bills that would protect aircraft against shoulder-fired missiles and mandate uniform biometric identification standards for law enforcement and airports.

“This Committee will continue to move legislation and improve our ability to secure the traveling public,” Chairman Donald Young (R-Alaska) promised.

Last week, the airlines’ industry group dispatched a representative to testify at the House Aviation Subcommittee’s hearing on the 9/11 Commission’s recommendations. The message: let’s not get carried away.

Full story at Forbes.com

Highway Lobby: Smooth Operators

WASHINGTON, D.C. – Despite Congress’ fitful efforts to renew a multiyear federal transportation bill, the highway lobby has once again proved its reputation as one of Washington’s most effective operators. How effective? Think $52 billion.

Since 1991, funding for highway and mass transit has been rolled up into a giant package reauthorized every six years. The existing law, a $218 billion program known as Transportation Equity Act for the 21st Century (TEA-21), was enacted in 1998. It expired last September.

Things haven’t been pretty since. Congress has sent President George W. Bush no less than five extensions of TEA-21 to keep money flowing to federally funded transportation projects. In February and April, respectively, the Senate and House passed their differing versions of the reauthorization bill. Members of a conference committee charged with reconciling the House and Senate bills have been at work since early June.

The big holdup: money. In November, the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee proposed a generous package totaling $375 billion, with a hike in fuel taxes as a possible way to pay for it.

But the tax-averse House ultimately settled on a more modest $275 billion version of the bill. The Senate came in at $318 billion. The Bush Administration, smarting from charges of fiscal profligacy, was the stingiest, with a $247 billion proposal–and it backed that lower number with a rare veto threat.

Just before legislators left for their August recess, however, a flurry of negotiations took place. Sen. James Inhofe, R-Okla., chairman of the Committee on Environment and Public Works, offered up a $301 billion compromise. Two days later, House Ways and Means Committee Chairman William Thomas, R-Calif., offered a $299 billion proposal, which he said had White House backing. The conference committee adjourned for the break without acting on either arrangement.

But the highway crowd can tentatively declare victory: $299 billion is a long way from the $247 billion line in the sand that the Bush Administration had originally drawn.

Full story at Forbes.com

Airline Stocks: Taking A Flyer

According to the Air Transport Association, the U.S. airline industry group, each $1 rise in the price of a barrel of oil costs American carriers $425 million per year. So it’s little wonder that investors have been ditching their airline shares lately. Year-over-year, airline stocks in the S&P 500 are down 11 percentage points, versus a gain of 16 points for the broader index.

In the stock market, however, sometimes it pays to run in the opposite direction of the stampede. “Nobody wants to own the [airline] industry,” says John Escario, manager of the Rydex Transportation Fund. “If you’re a contrarian, that’s probably the best time to start looking at it.”

The airline industry does show a few signs of coming out of the clouds, especially if you believe that the economic recovery can be sustained. Through May, revenue passenger miles (RPMs)–a measure of demand equaling the total number of passengers carried times the number of miles flown–is up 12 percentage points versus the same period last year. And oil prices have dipped below the $40 level of a few weeks ago.

Full story at Forbes.com

Is Customs’ ACE In The Hole?

WASHINGTON, D.C. – Central Intelligence Agency Director George Tenet shocked a lot of folks when he told the 9/11 commission recently that it would take another five years to build a truly integrated intelligence operation. Five years sounds like an awfully long time. But if you need an example of why Tenet, sadly, probably has the timetable right, take a look at the U.S. Bureau of Customs and Border Protection and its efforts to modernize.

In April 2001, Customs awarded a projected $1.3 billion, five-year contract to bring its technology for processing imports into the Internet era. Today, the new system, known as the Automated Commercial Environment, is up and running–but only partly. ACE’s builders have yet to install a good chunk of its functionality; the project has suffered delays and now is supposed to be completed in 2007.

ACE also has money problems. Congress has appropriated $1.04 billion for the project since 2001, including $306 million for fiscal 2004. A source tells Forbes the latter sum fell about a quarter shy of what was needed.

What’s going on here? The short answer is that creating technology to integrate various government functions means walking into a technological, management and political minefield. No one expected ACE to be easy–the project is a bit like rebuilding a street in midtown Manhattan, a section at a time, without ever stopping the flow of traffic. Customs’ existing setup is a hodgepodge of various trade processing systems, each with its own acronym: the Automated Commercial System, the Automated Export System, the Border Release Advanced Screening and Selectivity, Customs Automated Forms Entry System, Free and Secure Trade and the Pre-Arrival Processing System.

Full story at Forbes.com

Making Nice With Big Rail

WASHINGTON, D.C. – No one promised David L. Gunn an easy ride when he took over as Amtrak’s chief executive two years ago. The government-owned passenger railroad, which last year lost $1.3 billion on sales of $2 billion, faced financial and organizational disarray, outspoken enemies on Capitol Hill, and at least a decade’s worth of deferred maintenance projects.

But Gunn–a Harvard Business School graduate who in his career has headed up transit systems in New York City, Philadelphia, Toronto and Washington D.C.–has on the whole earned high marks for his focus on fixing Amtrak’s bookkeeping, thinning its bureaucracy and coming clean with Congress about the railroad’s needs for staying viable. Gunn, 66, seems also to have won the admiration of one of Amtrak’s most important business partners: the freight railroads.

“He has certainly tried very hard to improve relations,” says Thomas White, spokesperson for the Association of American Railroads, the freight industry group. “I think we’re all appreciative of that.” H. Craig Lewis, vice president for corporate affairs with Norfolk Southern, adds that “a lot of people from Amtrak and Norfolk Southern have had a part in improving this relationship, but the single most significant catalyst to it all has been David Gunn.”

Says Gunn: “I would characterize our relationships as pretty good.”

“Pretty good” looks downright remarkable given the evolution of freight and passenger rail in the United States over the last few decades. Amtrak, or the National Railroad Passenger Corporation, was created in 1970 when Congress, looking to save America’s inter-city passenger rail network, gave the big railroads a chance to unload their money-losing passenger operations. To do so, however, the railroads agreed not only to let Amtrak operate anywhere it wanted, but also to give preference to Amtrak trains on their networks.

Full story at Forbes.com

Railroads Throw Switch On Deficit Tax

WASHINGTON – Two of Congress’ most important items of business are the energy and surface transportation bills. At least one industry has a dog in both fights: the railroads.

Near the top of Big Rail’s wish list for both pieces of legislation is ridding itself of what’s known as the “deficit-reduction fuel tax.” Huh? That might sound a bit ambitious, given that Uncle Sam’s spending this year is expected to exceed revenue by some $477 billion. But industry lobbyists argue, with some justification, that it’s an unfair tax. Provisions to eliminate it are in both bills.

Repeal “has very strong support from both the House Ways & Means and Senate Finance committees,” says Jennifer Macdonald, director of government affairs for the Association of American Railroads (AAR).

The deficit-reduction fuel tax, 4.3 cents per gallon, was enacted in 1990 when the federal government’s accounts were $124 billion in the red. Railroads and trucking companies paid the tax initially, followed by inland barges in 1993 and commercial airlines in 1995.

Two years later, however, airlines and truckers managed to get their portion of the levy diverted into airport infrastructure and federal highway trust funds, respectively. In other words, the taxes they pay are used to benefit them. But barges and railroads, which have no such trust funds, continued to pay the deficit tax, even as the federal budget moved into the black in 1999.

Full story at Forbes.com

FedEx’s Stamp Act

FedEx chief Frederick W. Smith testified before Congress last week about reforming the U.S. Postal Service. It was quite a balancing act.

On one hand, Smith praised “the professionalism of Postal Service managers and the scale of its operations.” Moments later, however, he berated the “inefficiencies and disincentives” accompanying monopolies such as the one the U.S. Postal Service (USPS) enjoys on the mailbox. “The biggest victim of the postal monopoly,” Smith intoned, “is the Postal Service.”

What gives? Private shippers such as United Parcel Service and FedEx compete with the Postal Service. Both companies have recently expanded their mail-related services and retail presence: UPS acquired Mail Boxes, Etc. in 2001, while FedEx completed its $2.4 billion purchase of Kinko’s last week.

But they–and other big companies–don’t want to cause too much grief for the Postal Service. FedEx, in particular, has a history of working with the USPS. Last fall, for example, reports emerged that FedEx had struck an arrangement with the Postal Service to create a “postal hybrid service.” Under the arrangement, the USPS will deliver FedEx packages the last mile to homes, giving the company a foothold in low-density, single-parcel transactions that its business model would otherwise prevent.

As the long-simmering issue of postal reform heats up, other corporations that rely on the postal service, from Pitney Bowes to big magazine shipper Time Warner, are watching warily and are also trooping to the Hill to testify.

Full story at Forbes.com

Flying Pork

WASHINGTON, D.C. – When the federal government deregulated the airlines in 1978, it eased concerns that smaller communities would get stranded with a program called Essential Air Service. The program guaranteed that towns with air service as of October 1978–provided they were further than 70 miles from a bigger airport–would be eligible for subsidies keeping some measure of that service in place.

In fiscal 1995, EAS’s cost stood at $37 million per year. Following the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, Congress bumped up funding for EAS from $50 million to $113 million. A month ago, the program was reauthorized. Price tag: $127 million for each of the next four fiscal years.

If that subsidy creep looks worrying, research from transportation think tank Reconnecting America suggests things will only get worse without changes in transportation policy.

In 2002, the group released “Missed Connections,” a survey quantifying the drop in air service at various categories of airports during that year. That report argued, however, that the declines were more than just a result the Sept. 11 attacks and the economy’s downturn; instead, they reflected fundamental structural changes sweeping the airline industry.

Last month, the organization published “Missed Connections II,” a follow-up study that largely reinforced the earlier findings. At large-hub airports, for example, the number of weekly flights declined 1.7% from 2002 to 2003, on top of the 9.5% drop shown from 2001 to 2002. Medium and smaller hubs had a slight 0.1% gain in weekly flights but still showed a 9.6% reduction from 2001 to 2003. Smaller communities were some of the biggest losers–just 20% of those surveyed showed gains in weekly flights, while 80% either stayed flat or declined.

Full story at Forbes.com